Liberals lead by 14, as a majority in every region approves of Carney government performance.

Most of those who voted NDP and BQ, and a third of those who voted Conservative last year approve of Mark Carney's efforts to date.

Our latest Spark Insights polling (Sample 4026, nationwide, online, April 4-8) finds the Liberals (46%) well ahead of the Conservatives (32%) buttressed by a 19 point lead in BC, a 17 point lead in Ontario, and 20 points ahead of the BQ in Quebec.

Underpinning this support is wide approval (65%) of the government’s performance. Liberal governments have historically faced strong headwinds in the Prairie provinces but today majorities in Alberta (61%) Saskatchewan (58%) and Manitoba (62%) all say they approve of the Carney government’s performance.

We also measure how people feel about the way in which the government has approached 23 different topics. On all 23, a majority offers either a “good” or “acceptable” rating. At the top of the performance chart is the government’s effort to diversify trade relations. The results show the continued stress Canadians are feeling on housing affordability and the cost of living, which are the lowest rated areas of performance. Worth noting is that 72% offer a good or acceptable rating for the position taken by the government on the US and Israel war against Iran.

Perhaps the most interesting thing which these results reveal is that the level of partisan polarization is weaker than it has been in recent years. About two thirds of those who voted BQ and NDP last year are satisfied with the government, and 31% of those who voted for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives feel that way too.

We’ll release more from this detailed poll in the coming days.

(Methodology note: our findings are routinely weighted to reflect the correct proportions of the population by age, education and region. Some firms also weight by how people recall or report past voting behaviour, we do not, as we believe it introduces a potential source of error.)